Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.047348 0.055275 0.063987 0.074256 0.086010 0.099023 0.114502
2025-03-30 0.036129 0.046657 0.059301 0.075527 0.095716 0.119919 0.151033
2025-04-06 0.027468 0.038847 0.053634 0.074086 0.101439 0.136532 0.184693
2025-04-13 0.021525 0.033060 0.049153 0.072942 0.106838 0.152953 0.219884
2025-04-20 0.018562 0.030657 0.048612 0.076722 0.118997 0.179435 0.271358
2025-04-27 0.016043 0.028337 0.047658 0.079524 0.129836 0.205010 0.324172
2025-05-04 0.013102 0.024723 0.044029 0.077520 0.132919 0.219235 0.361499
2025-05-11 0.011023 0.022123 0.041541 0.076824 0.137714 0.236249 0.404433
2025-05-18 0.009121 0.019446 0.038440 0.074532 0.139401 0.248226 0.440214
2025-05-25 0.007671 0.017329 0.035963 0.072896 0.141845 0.261442 0.478960
2025-06-01 0.006711 0.015993 0.034708 0.073258 0.147748 0.280905 0.529796
2025-06-08 0.005669 0.014273 0.032414 0.071269 0.148988 0.292159 0.567132
2025-06-15 0.005255 0.013889 0.032825 0.074788 0.161284 0.324812 0.646290
2025-06-22 0.004644 0.012926 0.031863 0.075358 0.167868 0.347544 0.709387
2025-06-29 0.003953 0.011618 0.029924 0.073563 0.169430 0.360845 0.755939
2025-07-06 0.003399 0.010536 0.028316 0.072245 0.171784 0.375831 0.806938
2025-07-13 0.003202 0.010370 0.028859 0.075893 0.185181 0.414024 0.906680
2025-07-20 0.002973 0.010064 0.029003 0.078615 0.196811 0.449574 1.003904
2025-07-27 0.002551 0.009095 0.027295 0.076607 0.197505 0.462337 1.055511
2025-08-03 0.002243 0.008397 0.026180 0.075904 0.201110 0.481551 1.122013
2025-08-10 0.001919 0.007566 0.024549 0.073630 0.200687 0.491897 1.170399
2025-08-17 0.001662 0.006892 0.023242 0.072009 0.201641 0.505318 1.226410
2025-08-24 0.001497 0.006500 0.022690 0.072365 0.207552 0.530430 1.310043